Who has both the motive and capability to move first? — THE DESK
R02 · JUNCTION · LAYER 4 OF 15 (DERIVED)Macro Migration
Who moves first?
READY_UNSCORED
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REGISTERED STRUCTURE · DRAWN FROM THE FROZEN FILES
THE REGISTERED QUESTION
Who has both the motive and capability to move first?
LEVEL Leaf · CONFIDENCE NOT_ASSESSED · DEFINITION DEFINED
FALSIFIABLE CLAIM
High-skill, low-asset, digitally native, cross-border-capable participants will adopt exit tooling and non-custodial settlement earlier or more intensively than matched participants with greater incumbent-asset ownership.
STRENGTHENS IF
Cohort-controlled adoption, income-routing, custody, and repeat-use data show the predicted concentration.
FRAMEWORK ANCHOR
Ch. 10 target market; Structure V1 §6.5, The Unbundled Generation
GATED BY 0 BLOCKED ANCESTORS
REGISTERED TERMINUS — THIS QUESTION FEEDS NOTHING DOWNSTREAM
MECHANISM · FROM THE BOOK · NOT MEASURED — B
OBJ-MONETARY-COMPETITION-FRAMEWORK · THE SUM-TOTAL COST TABLEOBJ-MONEY-UNDER-COMPETITION · MONOPOLY MONEY VERSUS MARKET MONEYBOUND METRICS · 2
EACH CHIP NAMES THE METRIC’S REGISTERED EPISTEMIC CLASS — HOW IT WOULD BE READ, NOT A READING. ZERO READINGS EXIST YET.
M-COHORT-HOMEOWNHomeownership rate under 35OBSERVED % householdsM-COHORT-WEALTH-GAPSkill-to-asset ownership gapESTIMATED index / percentile gap
ANSWER NO IF
Adoption is unrelated to the profile or concentrates among incumbent beneficiaries for purely speculative reasons.