Ex-post real short Treasury return — THE DESK
DATUM · M-STAY-REAL-SAFE-RATE · Macro MigrationMVP
Ex-post real short Treasury return
%
CADENCE Monthly
LINE FRAME
0 PUBLIC OBSERVATIONS · MISSING DATA IS NOT A ZEROAWAITING FIRST READINGNO ADMISSIBLE ROOM READING
UNIT%
CADENCEMonthly
SOURCEFRED-API
EPISTEMICESTIMATED
STRENGTHENS IFSafe nominal claims deliver persistently negative real return.
WEAKENS IFReal safe returns remain positive without access restrictions.
MVP TIERMVP
BOUND CLAIMS · 1
N · NUMERIC LENS — DEFINITION, DIRECTION, HISTORY
✓ CLAIMS 7e655a43… · AS OF 2026-08-02