R02 · JUNCTION · LAYER 6 OF 15 (DERIVED)Macro Migration
Have people actually started leaving?
BLOCKED
THE REGISTERED QUESTION
Have the Two Dials crossed into migration?
LEVEL Gate · CONFIDENCE NOT_ASSESSED · DEFINITION DEFINED
FALSIFIABLE CLAIM
Periods and populations in the high-Cost-of-Staying/low-Exit-Friction cell will show more persistent routing outside default rails than the other three Two Dials cells after controlling for market prices and general technology adoption.
STRENGTHENS IF
Repeat operational routing, self-custody, cross-border settlement, or income dependence increases specifically in the predicted cell.
FRAMEWORK ANCHOR
Ch. 11, Two Dials 2×2 threshold matrix
REQUIRES: MAC-EXIT-004 METHOD_REQUIRED · MAC-STAY-005 METHOD_REQUIRED
FEEDS: REG-LEG-001 BLOCKED ↓ TRUNK · TSB-CORE-001 BLOCKED
FEEDS: REG-LEG-001 BLOCKED ↓ TRUNK · TSB-CORE-001 BLOCKED
GATED BY 0 BLOCKED ANCESTORS
MECHANISM · FROM THE BOOK · NOT MEASURED — B
OBJ-MONETARY-COMPETITION-FRAMEWORK · THE SUM-TOTAL COST TABLE
OBJ-MONEY-UNDER-COMPETITION · MONOPOLY MONEY VERSUS MARKET MONEY
BOUND METRICS · 1
M-MIG-STATETwo Dials migration stateINFERRED categorical state
ANSWER NO IF
Complaints rise but routing does not; experimentation remains optional; the interaction has no additional explanatory power.