R04 · JUNCTION · LAYER 6 OF 15 (DERIVED)The Second Bitcoin
Is the moved money real?
HISTORICAL_CANDIDATE
THE REGISTERED QUESTION
Is the routed activity economically meaningful?
LEVEL Intermediate · CONFIDENCE NOT_ASSESSED · DEFINITION DEFINED
FALSIFIABLE CLAIM
Litecoin’s event-linked activity increase will include economically relevant transfer bands; transaction count will not rise solely because the median and nearby quantiles collapse into dust-like values.
STRENGTHENS IF
Median and nearby quantiles hold or rise during count growth; filtered bands show substantive transfers.
FRAMEWORK ANCHOR
Ch. 13, median and quantile argument; Ch. 14
REQUIRES: LTC-TRIAL-001 HISTORICAL_CANDIDATE
FEEDS: LTC-RET-001 HISTORICAL_CANDIDATE ↓ TRUNK · SET-MON-001 METHOD_REQUIRED
FEEDS: LTC-RET-001 HISTORICAL_CANDIDATE ↓ TRUNK · SET-MON-001 METHOD_REQUIRED
GATED BY 2 BLOCKED ANCESTORS
BLOCKING FRONTIER · 1
BTC-LIM-005What do people do when it's too costly?BLOCKED
NEAREST LEVER · BTC-LIM-005 — CLEARING IT DROPS THIS TO GATED BY 1
MECHANISM: OBJ-TRIAL-RETENTION · WHEN TRIAL BECOMES RETENTION · FROM THE BOOK · NOT MEASURED — B
BOUND METRICS · 3
M-LTC-CENTER-BANDLitecoin nearby quantile bandFILTERED LTC / constant USD
M-LTC-MEDIAN-NATIVELitecoin transparent-layer median transfer valueFILTERED LTC
M-LTC-MEDIAN-REALLitecoin median transfer value, constant dollarsFILTERED constant USD
ANSWER NO IF
Count rises while the distribution center collapses or activity is attributable to non-monetary traffic.