R04 · JUNCTION · LAYER 7 OF 15 (DERIVED)The Second Bitcoin
Does trial become a habit?
HISTORICAL_CANDIDATE
THE REGISTERED QUESTION
Does trial become retained habit?
LEVEL Gate · CONFIDENCE NOT_ASSESSED · DEFINITION DEFINED
FALSIFIABLE CLAIM
After multiple Bitcoin Fee Regimes, Litecoin’s economically filtered 30-, 90-, or 180-day activity floor will remain above its preregime baseline by a preregistered retention threshold.
STRENGTHENS IF
Higher post-event floors persist across multiple events and reasonable baseline windows.
FRAMEWORK ANCHOR
Ch. 13, trial → retention and post-regime baseline reset
REQUIRES: LTC-BAND-001 HISTORICAL_CANDIDATE · LTC-TRIAL-001 HISTORICAL_CANDIDATE
FEEDS: LTC-COORD-001 BLOCKED · LTC-CORR-001 READY_UNSCORED ↓ TRUNK · LTC-CTRL-001 METHOD_REQUIRED · SET-MON-001 METHOD_REQUIRED
FEEDS: LTC-COORD-001 BLOCKED · LTC-CORR-001 READY_UNSCORED ↓ TRUNK · LTC-CTRL-001 METHOD_REQUIRED · SET-MON-001 METHOD_REQUIRED
GATED BY 2 BLOCKED ANCESTORS
BLOCKING FRONTIER · 1
BTC-LIM-005What do people do when it's too costly?BLOCKED
NEAREST LEVER · BTC-LIM-005 — CLEARING IT DROPS THIS TO GATED BY 1
MECHANISM: OBJ-TRIAL-RETENTION · WHEN TRIAL BECOMES RETENTION · FROM THE BOOK · NOT MEASURED — B
BOUND METRICS · 3
M-LTC-RET-180180-day retained activity floorESTIMATED % vs baseline
M-LTC-RET-3030-day retained activity floorESTIMATED % vs baseline
M-LTC-RET-9090-day retained activity floorESTIMATED % vs baseline
ANSWER NO IF
Activity fully mean-reverts, retention appears in only one cherry-picked event, or vanishes under alternate windows.