R04 · JUNCTION · LAYER 5 OF 15 (DERIVED)The Second Bitcoin
Do fee spikes send people to Litecoin?
HISTORICAL_CANDIDATE
THE REGISTERED QUESTION
Does Litecoin receive event-linked trial activity?
LEVEL Gate · CONFIDENCE NOT_ASSESSED · DEFINITION DEFINED
FALSIFIABLE CLAIM
During preregistered Bitcoin Fee Regimes, economically filtered Litecoin activity will rise above its pre-event baseline by more than its normal variation.
STRENGTHENS IF
Count, center-of-distribution measures, or relevant bands rise inside event windows.
FRAMEWORK ANCHOR
Ch. 13, narrow substitution claim
REQUIRES: BTC-LIM-005 BLOCKED
FEEDS: LTC-BAND-001 HISTORICAL_CANDIDATE ↓ TRUNK · LTC-RET-001 HISTORICAL_CANDIDATE
FEEDS: LTC-BAND-001 HISTORICAL_CANDIDATE ↓ TRUNK · LTC-RET-001 HISTORICAL_CANDIDATE
GATED BY 2 BLOCKED ANCESTORS
BLOCKING FRONTIER · 1
BTC-LIM-005What do people do when it's too costly?BLOCKED
NEAREST LEVER · BTC-LIM-005 — CLEARING IT DROPS THIS TO GATED BY 1
MECHANISM: OBJ-TRIAL-RETENTION · WHEN TRIAL BECOMES RETENTION · FROM THE BOOK · NOT MEASURED — B
BOUND METRICS · 2
M-LTC-TRIAL-ZLitecoin event-window activity deviationESTIMATED z-score
M-LTC-TX-COUNTLitecoin daily transaction countOBSERVED transactions/day
ANSWER NO IF
No repeatable rise, or apparent response disappears after filtering.